Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Viktoria Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MEU
1 - 2
ERF
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
AUE
5 - 2
ERF
30%
26%
45%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ERF
4 - 0
OBE
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
HER
2 - 1
ERF
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ERF
1 - 0
WAC
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Viktoria Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
VIK
1 - 2
BFC
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
BAB
1 - 1
VIK
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
VIK
2 - 2
UNI
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
WAC
4 - 1
VIK
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BIS
2 - 1
VIK
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |