Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
KÖL
2 - 2
ERF
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ERF
0 - 4
ARB
23%
25%
52%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 1
ERF
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ERF
1 - 2
HAL
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MAI
3 - 1
ERF
34%
27%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
MSV
2 - 1
PRE
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SGD
0 - 2
MSV
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MSV
3 - 2
COT
52%
25%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
STU
1 - 2
MSV
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
MSV
2 - 2
ROS
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |