Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Lokomotive Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
ZWI
1 - 0
ERF
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
ERF
2 - 1
FCU
58%
23%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1979 |
BWA
3 - 1
ERF
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
HAL
2 - 0
ERF
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
ERF
2 - 2
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
LOK
5 - 5
ROS
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
BSG
1 - 0
LOK
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1979 |
CZJ
0 - 2
LOK
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
ZWI
0 - 4
LOK
32%
27%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
LOK
2 - 1
FCU
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |