Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
FCU
2 - 0
ERF
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
ERF
1 - 1
MAG
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1998 |
CHE
1 - 1
ERF
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
ERF
1 - 6
EIN
19%
23%
58%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
ERF
2 - 1
SGD
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
CZJ
1 - 2
MSV
21%
23%
56%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
CZJ
2 - 0
LAS
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
DRE
3 - 0
CZJ
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1998 |
CZJ
1 - 1
PLA
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
CZJ
1 - 0
ULM
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |