Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
ERF
1 - 2
HAL
42%
25%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
ERF
4 - 0
ZWI
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
CZJ
1 - 1
ERF
77%
15%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
ERF
0 - 1
FVF
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
BFC
1 - 0
ERF
84%
11%
5%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
BWA
3 - 0
MAG
21%
25%
55%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
HAL
2 - 1
BWA
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
BWA
0 - 0
BSG
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
ZWI
0 - 0
BWA
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
BWA
2 - 2
CHE
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |