Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
COT
5 - 3
ERF
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
ERF
2 - 2
LOK
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
VIK
2 - 0
ERF
55%
23%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ERF
2 - 3
STE
52%
23%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
ERF
3 - 0
HAL
10%
16%
73%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
AUE
1 - 5
HER
34%
25%
42%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
ALT
4 - 1
AUE
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
AUE
0 - 1
LIC
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 4
AUE
23%
22%
55%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
ILE
1 - 3
AUE
19%
24%
58%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |