Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
52.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
ERF
2 - 1
KAI
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
OFC
0 - 2
ERF
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
SVS
2 - 0
ERF
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2003 |
ERF
2 - 1
SPO
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
BAY
2 - 0
ERF
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
AAA
1 - 0
ERZ
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
COT
3 - 1
AAA
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2003 |
AAA
2 - 2
M05
30%
26%
45%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
WAC
1 - 1
AAA
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
AAA
4 - 1
STP
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +2 |