Rot-Weiß Erfurt II vs Carl Zeiss Jena II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
LOK
3 - 0
ROT
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ROT
3 - 0
VFL
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 3
ROT
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 0
GRU
76%
15%
8%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ZWI
5 - 0
ROT
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Carl Zeiss Jena II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
CHE
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AUE
0 - 0
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
FCH
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
DYN
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
LOK
1 - 2
CAR
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |