Roskilde vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
3º
3º
59
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
59 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
72 | 16 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 16 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
ROS
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 1
AKA
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
LFA
0 - 5
ROS
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FA2
0 - 1
ROS
17%
22%
61%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ROS
0 - 1
AAF
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ESB
0 - 1
AAF
56%
22%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AAF
5 - 0
LFA
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MID
0 - 2
AAF
33%
26%
42%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AAF
5 - 0
LFA
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ROS
0 - 1
AAF
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |