Roskilde vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
3º
3º
59
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
59 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
72 | 16 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 16 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
ROS
34%
26%
39%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 1
AKA
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
LFA
0 - 5
ROS
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FA2
0 - 1
ROS
18%
22%
60%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ROS
0 - 1
AAF
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ESB
0 - 1
AAF
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AAF
5 - 0
LFA
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MID
0 - 2
AAF
34%
26%
41%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AAF
5 - 0
LFA
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ROS
0 - 1
AAF
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |