Rosenborg II vs Tiller IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
33%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
9º
9º
35
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosenborg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 3
ROS
20%
17%
63%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
ROS
2 - 3
MOS
60%
18%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
BYA
4 - 2
ROS
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
ROS
9 - 0
STE
75%
13%
12%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
KBK
2 - 2
ROS
33%
21%
47%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tiller IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
TIL
2 - 0
BYA
14%
17%
69%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
RFK
2 - 1
TIL
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
TIL
1 - 4
NAR
14%
17%
69%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MOS
2 - 0
TIL
32%
21%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
ORK
2 - 3
TIL
22%
19%
59%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |