Romulus vs Northwich Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
47.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
ROM
2 - 4
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
BEL
4 - 2
ROM
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
ROM
4 - 2
STA
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ROM
5 - 1
LOU
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 4
BED
51%
23%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Northwich Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
WIT
1 - 1
NOR
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
STO
2 - 1
NOR
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 1
BEL
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
MAR
4 - 2
NOR
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
NOR
16%
21%
63%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |