Romulus vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
STO
1 - 2
ROM
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 2
ROM
66%
20%
15%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ROM
2 - 1
TIV
51%
23%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
RUS
3 - 2
ROM
55%
25%
21%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
MIC
2 - 0
ROM
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
GRE
4 - 2
RAI
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GOO
4 - 2
GRE
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
GRE
10 - 0
BRI
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
SHE
3 - 1
GRE
32%
23%
44%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |