Eerste Divisie Round 16

Roda JC vs MVV Maastricht analysis

Roda JC MVV Maastricht
67 ELO 58
7.5% Tilt 15.2%
779º General ELO ranking 1437º
26º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
60.6%
Roda JC
21.3%
Draw
18.1%
MVV Maastricht

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
Roda JC
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
18.1%
Win probability
MVV Maastricht
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Roda JC
-14%
-15%
MVV Maastricht

Points and table prediction

Roda JC
Their league position
MVV Maastricht
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
56
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Willem II
79
79
100%
Groningen
75
75
100%
Roda JC
75
75
100%
Dordrecht
69
69
100%
ADO Den Haag
63
63
0%
De Graafschap
63
63
0%
Emmen
57
57
100%
NAC Breda
56
56
0%
MVV Maastricht
56
56
100%
Jong AZ
10º
56
56
10º
0%
Helmond Sport
11º
51
51
11º
100%
VVV Venlo
12º
48
48
12º
100%
Cambuur
13º
47
47
13º
100%
FC Eindhoven
14º
43
43
14º
100%
Jong Ajax
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Jong PSV
16º
40
40
16º
100%
SC Telstar
17º
35
35
17º
100%
TOP Oss
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Den Bosch
19º
33
33
19º
100%
Jong Utrecht
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Roda JC
MVV Maastricht
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Roda JC
MVV Maastricht
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roda JC
Roda JC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2023
BVO
Cambuur
1 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
50%
24%
27%
67 68 1 0
12 Nov. 2023
RJC
Roda JC
0 - 0
Groningen
GRO
47%
24%
29%
66 65 1 +1
06 Nov. 2023
EIN
FC Eindhoven
1 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
46%
25%
29%
66 68 2 0
02 Nov. 2023
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
5 - 3
Roda JC
RJC
59%
21%
20%
67 75 8 -1
27 Oct. 2023
RJC
Roda JC
2 - 1
Jong Ajax
JON
49%
23%
29%
67 62 5 0

Matches

MVV Maastricht
MVV Maastricht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2023
MVV
MVV Maastricht
1 - 4
NAC Breda
NAC
21%
23%
56%
59 69 10 0
10 Nov. 2023
FCO
TOP Oss
0 - 1
MVV Maastricht
MVV
29%
24%
48%
59 52 7 0
06 Nov. 2023
MVV
MVV Maastricht
1 - 1
Emmen
FCE
20%
24%
56%
58 71 13 +1
02 Nov. 2023
BVO
Cambuur
4 - 1
MVV Maastricht
MVV
58%
21%
22%
59 66 7 -1
30 Oct. 2023
JUT
Jong Utrecht
1 - 1
MVV Maastricht
MVV
24%
24%
53%
60 53 7 -1