Eerste Divisie Round 20

Roda JC vs De Graafschap analysis

Roda JC De Graafschap
56 ELO 71
6.5% Tilt 4.4%
773º General ELO ranking 635º
26º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
18.3%
Roda JC
22.1%
Draw
59.5%
De Graafschap

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
Roda JC
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59.5%
Win probability
De Graafschap
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Roda JC
-11%
+1%
De Graafschap

ELO progression

Roda JC
De Graafschap
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roda JC
Roda JC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2021
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 2
Roda JC
RJC
63%
22%
15%
56 68 12 0
04 Jan. 2021
ALK
Jong AZ
0 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
38%
25%
38%
56 50 6 0
20 Dec. 2020
RJC
Roda JC
0 - 3
Go Ahead Eagles
GAE
27%
25%
48%
57 66 9 -1
14 Dec. 2020
RJC
Roda JC
2 - 2
Helmond Sport
HEL
69%
19%
13%
57 47 10 0
05 Dec. 2020
PSV
Jong PSV
1 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
46%
24%
29%
57 56 1 0

Matches

De Graafschap
De Graafschap
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2021
GRA
De Graafschap
2 - 0
SC Telstar
TEL
67%
20%
14%
70 60 10 0
02 Jan. 2021
ALM
Almere City
1 - 0
De Graafschap
GRA
31%
25%
44%
71 66 5 -1
19 Dec. 2020
GRA
De Graafschap
3 - 1
Jong Utrecht
JUT
74%
16%
9%
71 55 16 0
16 Dec. 2020
GRA
De Graafschap
1 - 2
PSV
PSV
15%
20%
64%
71 87 16 0
11 Dec. 2020
GRA
De Graafschap
2 - 2
Jong Ajax
JON
52%
22%
26%
71 66 5 0