Rochester New York vs Hershey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
ROC
1 - 0
MIB
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2001 |
MIB
2 - 3
ROC
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
ROC
3 - 0
PIT
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2001 |
PIT
2 - 1
ROC
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
ROC
3 - 1
LON
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Hershey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
HER
0 - 1
VAN
35%
25%
39%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
VAN
0 - 4
HER
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
HER
1 - 0
POR
27%
25%
49%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2001 |
POR
0 - 2
HER
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
CAC
1 - 3
HER
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |