Rocha FC vs Salus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 1
COL
50%
22%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
CEN
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
BOS
2 - 0
ROC
66%
20%
13%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 1
CSY
18%
23%
58%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
ORI
0 - 2
ROC
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Salus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 1
POT
38%
23%
39%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 3
COL
46%
23%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 2
PLA
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 3
SAL
32%
24%
44%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
POT
0 - 2
SAL
55%
22%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |