Rocha FC vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
ROC
0 - 5
VEL
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
ROC
5 - 3
COL
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
CER
3 - 0
ROC
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
LIG
5 - 0
ROC
81%
12%
8%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
TAC
2 - 0
ROC
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
RIV
1 - 0
TAC
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
RIV
2 - 0
REN
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
RIV
0 - 1
CSC
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
COL
3 - 2
RIV
35%
27%
39%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
PEÑ
2 - 4
RIV
58%
22%
21%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |