Rocester vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
ROC
2 - 3
SHE
29%
24%
46%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
ROC
3 - 5
AFC
14%
22%
64%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
OSS
6 - 1
ROC
73%
16%
10%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ROC
0 - 3
COL
19%
24%
58%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 0
ROC
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
NOR
2 - 2
GRE
73%
17%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
MOS
0 - 1
GRE
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 0
ROC
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 2
AFC
20%
24%
56%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
WOS
0 - 0
GRE
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |