Roccella vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
USC
2 - 0
ROC
61%
22%
17%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
MES
5 - 1
ROC
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 1
SMC
18%
21%
62%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 1
GEL
15%
23%
62%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
ROC
58%
24%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
REN
0 - 0
PAT
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 0
REN
58%
23%
18%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
REN
1 - 1
USC
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ROT
2 - 1
REN
42%
23%
36%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
REN
1 - 2
GEL
31%
28%
41%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |