RM Castilla vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CCF
1 - 0
RMC
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
RMC
3 - 2
UDL
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
HER
2 - 4
RMC
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
RMC
1 - 2
PON
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 4
RMC
28%
26%
47%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
ALM
43%
25%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
MIR
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FCB
3 - 0
SPO
41%
27%
33%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
VIL
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
GIR
3 - 1
SPO
31%
28%
42%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |