Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-2
RM Castilla vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.4%
3.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
OVI
2 - 0
RMC
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
MAN
2 - 0
RMC
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
RMC
1 - 1
ALA
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
LIN
1 - 0
RMC
45%
29%
27%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
RMC
2 - 0
REC
60%
24%
17%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
PEG
0 - 0
MAN
64%
22%
14%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
MAN
2 - 0
RMC
32%
27%
41%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
MAN
4 - 0
COL
80%
14%
6%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
ATM
1 - 2
MAN
39%
30%
31%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
MAN
2 - 0
ALC
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |