RM Castilla vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
PON
0 - 3
RMC
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
RMC
2 - 1
ALC
71%
17%
11%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
COR
1 - 0
RMC
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
RMC
0 - 1
ALC
68%
19%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
AVI
0 - 0
RMC
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
LUG
1 - 0
PON
26%
27%
46%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
ALC
1 - 1
LUG
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
LUG
0 - 0
COR
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
ALC
2 - 1
LUG
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
LUG
2 - 4
AVI
40%
27%
34%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |