RM Castilla vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
SDA
2 - 2
RMC
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
RMC
1 - 2
RUN
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
RSO
1 - 2
RMC
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
RMC
3 - 1
ALB
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CDM
2 - 2
RMC
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GER
0 - 0
CDM
45%
27%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NAV
1 - 1
GER
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
GER
1 - 1
SSR
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
GER
1 - 0
UDL
33%
30%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ARE
2 - 4
GER
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |