RM Castilla vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 0
RMC
9%
22%
69%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RMC
3 - 0
FUE
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GET
0 - 1
RMC
15%
25%
61%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RMC
4 - 2
ATB
85%
11%
5%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
RMC
4 - 1
CDT
80%
14%
7%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ATH
2 - 1
UDS
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
LEI
0 - 1
ATH
27%
30%
44%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ATH
1 - 1
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
SDA
1 - 1
ATH
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ATH
0 - 0
HUE
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |