RM Castilla vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
LAN
1 - 1
RMC
38%
25%
36%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
RMC
4 - 0
PPJ
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
UDF
0 - 1
RMC
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
RMC
0 - 1
ULP
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
UDL
1 - 0
RMC
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
PPJ
0 - 0
ALC
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ALC
3 - 1
ULP
35%
30%
35%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
CAS
1 - 0
ALC
21%
28%
52%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 1
LEG
23%
27%
50%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
SSR
0 - 2
ALC
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |