SITHOC vs VESTA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
SIT
1 - 1
HOL
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
SIT
1 - 2
SUB
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
SIT
2 - 3
VIC
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SCH
0 - 0
SIT
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
INW
1 - 2
SIT
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
VESTA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SVV
0 - 0
SUB
38%
25%
38%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
UND
1 - 1
SVV
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SVV
0 - 3
SCH
31%
26%
43%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
VIC
4 - 3
SVV
67%
19%
15%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 0
SVV
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |