SITHOC vs VESTA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SIT
0 - 1
VIC
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SIT
0 - 0
HUB
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
SIT
3 - 1
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2014 |
UND
3 - 2
SIT
49%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
SIT
2 - 4
DOM
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
VESTA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SVV
2 - 1
COL
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
SVV
1 - 9
BAR
49%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SVV
0 - 0
HUB
51%
24%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
SVV
0 - 1
SUB
46%
25%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
SVV
1 - 2
VIC
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |