SITHOC vs UNDEBA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
HUB
1 - 1
SIT
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
SIT
2 - 2
SVV
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
SIT
0 - 0
COL
44%
23%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
BAR
5 - 1
SIT
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
SIT
1 - 0
SUB
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
UND
2 - 1
HOL
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2013 |
VIC
0 - 0
UND
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
UND
2 - 2
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
COL
3 - 1
UND
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2013 |
UND
2 - 0
HUB
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |