SITHOC vs UNDEBA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
DOM
3 - 0
SIT
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SIT
2 - 5
DOM
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 4
SIT
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SIT
4 - 0
SUB
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
SIT
0 - 2
UND
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
UND
4 - 1
HOL
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
UND
2 - 0
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
HOL
1 - 0
UND
48%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
SIT
0 - 2
UND
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
UND
3 - 0
VIC
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |