SITHOC vs UNDEBA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SIT
1 - 2
SVV
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SIT
2 - 0
RBV
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2009 |
SIT
4 - 2
COL
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2009 |
SIT
2 - 1
CHM
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
SIT
1 - 0
VIC
45%
25%
31%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
UND
2 - 0
SUB
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
SUB
0 - 4
UND
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
UND
2 - 1
HOL
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
UND
0 - 2
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SVV
1 - 0
UND
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |