SITHOC vs UNDEBA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2008 |
SVV
3 - 1
SIT
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2008 |
HUB
3 - 1
SIT
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
SIT
1 - 2
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
SIT
1 - 2
SUB
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
SIT
0 - 1
COL
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
UND
2 - 0
SUB
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 2
UND
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
UND
2 - 0
HOL
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
COL
3 - 4
UND
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
VIC
1 - 0
UND
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |