SITHOC vs UNDEBA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
COL
1 - 3
SIT
20%
22%
58%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2008 |
DOM
2 - 3
SIT
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2007 |
SIT
1 - 2
BAR
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
SIT
1 - 2
HUB
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
SUB
0 - 2
SIT
29%
25%
47%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
UND
2 - 0
VIC
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2008 |
HOL
2 - 0
UND
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2007 |
UND
1 - 0
DOM
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
SUB
1 - 2
UND
28%
25%
48%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
UND
6 - 1
COL
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |