SITHOC vs SUBT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
SIT
1 - 1
DOM
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
UND
1 - 1
SIT
26%
22%
53%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
SUB
0 - 0
SIT
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SIT
1 - 1
INW
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
SIT
0 - 0
VIC
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
SUB
0 - 0
BAR
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 0
SUB
55%
23%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
SUB
0 - 0
SIT
32%
22%
46%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
VIC
2 - 0
SUB
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
SCH
2 - 1
SUB
56%
23%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |