SITHOC vs SUBT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
HUB
3 - 0
SIT
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SIT
0 - 5
DOM
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
SIT
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
SIT
5 - 0
SVV
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SIT
2 - 1
HOL
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SUB
1 - 1
HOL
59%
22%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
SUB
2 - 2
UND
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIC
2 - 1
SUB
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
SUB
0 - 2
DOM
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SUB
2 - 1
HUB
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |