Sarto vs RKVV Erp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
39.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
14º
8º
44
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
65% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
94% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 18 |
14º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 1
RKS
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
RKS
1 - 3
ZWE
66%
18%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SVD
4 - 3
RKS
57%
21%
23%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
RKS
0 - 0
DOS
72%
16%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
DEL
2 - 0
RKS
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
RKVV Erp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ERP
3 - 1
RKS
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
ERP
1 - 1
RKV
34%
21%
45%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
WOE
0 - 4
ERP
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ERP
0 - 5
NEM
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
VVB
3 - 0
ERP
17%
18%
65%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -2 |