River Melilla vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
70.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+226%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CDR
3 - 1
RIV
78%
14%
9%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 4
ANT
15%
20%
65%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CDE
6 - 0
RIV
84%
11%
6%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 0
COM
14%
19%
67%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
RIV
81%
13%
7%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
LOJ
3 - 2
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
RON
0 - 2
LOJ
18%
23%
59%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LOJ
1 - 1
HUE
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
LOJ
22%
24%
54%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LOJ
4 - 0
UDS
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |