River Melilla vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
62%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
CDE
2 - 1
MAN
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 0
ALH
61%
23%
17%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
VEL
2 - 1
MAN
39%
29%
33%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 1
VIL
41%
27%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MOL
0 - 2
MAN
34%
29%
38%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |