Risborough Rangers vs Harefield United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Risborough Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BED
5 - 1
RIS
28%
22%
50%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
FLA
3 - 0
RIS
48%
24%
27%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -3 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
RAY
2 - 1
RIS
28%
21%
52%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 1
RIS
23%
20%
57%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 5
RIS
7%
14%
79%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Harefield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 2
RAY
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
HAR
4 - 0
W&C
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 2
HAR
59%
19%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HFC
0 - 3
HAR
49%
21%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 0
VIR
21%
20%
59%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |