Riograndense SM vs Brasil Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
59.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riograndense SM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 2
PEL
16%
24%
61%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 5
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -3 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 2
ISM
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
RIO
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
RIO
68%
20%
13%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Brasil Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
SAN
56%
25%
19%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 5
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
SGA
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECA
54%
26%
21%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
PEL
3 - 1
BRA
52%
25%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |