Rio Preto vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TAU
3 - 3
RIO
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
CAP
1 - 1
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 2
XVD
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 1
SER
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
RIO
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 1
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
OES
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BOA
3 - 0
GUA
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOA
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |