Paulista A3 1st Stage Round 6

Rio Preto vs EC São Bernardo analysis

Rio Preto EC São Bernardo
43 ELO 48
-9.6% Tilt -12.1%
6613º General ELO ranking 5460º
262º Country ELO ranking 185º
ELO win probability
35.1%
Rio Preto
26.1%
Draw
38.8%
EC São Bernardo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
Rio Preto
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.8%
Win probability
EC São Bernardo
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rio Preto
+20%
-16%
EC São Bernardo

ELO progression

Rio Preto
EC São Bernardo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rio Preto
Rio Preto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2025
MON
Monte Azul
4 - 0
Rio Preto
RIO
62%
22%
17%
44 52 8 0
29 Jan. 2025
RIO
Rio Preto
1 - 0
Comercial
COM
47%
25%
28%
43 43 0 +1
26 Jan. 2025
RIO
Rio Branco SP
1 - 1
Rio Preto
RIO
44%
25%
31%
43 44 1 0
23 Jan. 2025
DES
Desportivo Brasil
0 - 1
Rio Preto
RIO
51%
26%
24%
42 49 7 +1
18 Jan. 2025
RIO
Rio Preto
3 - 0
Catanduva
CAT
31%
26%
43%
39 47 8 +3

Matches

EC São Bernardo
EC São Bernardo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2025
BER
EC São Bernardo
1 - 0
Desportivo Brasil
DES
40%
26%
34%
47 48 1 0
29 Jan. 2025
CAT
Catanduva
1 - 0
EC São Bernardo
BER
38%
27%
35%
48 47 1 -1
26 Jan. 2025
BER
EC São Bernardo
0 - 1
XV de Novembro
ECN
47%
26%
28%
49 48 1 -1
22 Jan. 2025
BER
EC São Bernardo
1 - 1
Francana
FRA
57%
22%
20%
49 40 9 0
18 Jan. 2025
RIO
Rio Branco SP
3 - 1
EC São Bernardo
BER
26%
26%
49%
50 41 9 -1