Rio Branco SP vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
INT
2 - 0
RIO
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 2
POR
68%
21%
12%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 4
RIO
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
0 - 0
RIO
33%
25%
43%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 1
BRA
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
TAB
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
POR
3 - 1
MAR
35%
28%
38%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 0
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
MIR
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +1 |