Rio Branco SP vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
57.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
RIO
1 - 2
SAO
3%
12%
86%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
RIO
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 2
RIO
53%
23%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
RIO
1 - 0
JUV
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
AME
1 - 0
RIO
64%
20%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
POR
2 - 2
ECN
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
POR
3 - 2
JUV
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 1
POR
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
ECN
1 - 1
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
POR
1 - 1
PPE
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |