Rio Branco PR vs Nacional PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
COT
2 - 0
RIO
81%
15%
5%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 1
PAR
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 0
RIO
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 0
LON
36%
25%
38%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
RIO
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
NPR
1 - 2
JMA
18%
24%
58%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
NPR
1 - 2
OPE
17%
25%
58%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 1
NPR
79%
16%
5%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
NPR
58%
24%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
NPR
1 - 3
GRE
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |