Rio Branco PR vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
67.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 2
TCW
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
JMA
4 - 1
RIO
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 3
ATP
11%
20%
68%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ACP
5 - 0
RIO
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
ARA
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 1
ATP
12%
19%
69%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ATP
2 - 0
LON
76%
17%
8%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 0
COT
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
AMF
2 - 1
ATP
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CRZ
1 - 1
ATP
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |