Rio Bananal vs São Mateus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Bananal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
BFC
0 - 3
RIO
36%
24%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GEL
2 - 0
BFC
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
BFC
2 - 3
JAG
47%
24%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
VFC
3 - 1
BFC
37%
24%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
BFC
3 - 0
CAC
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
São Mateus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 1
GEL
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
JAG
1 - 1
SAO
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 0
VFC
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
CAC
2 - 0
SAO
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 0
SER
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |