Rio Ave vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 0
RIO
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
RIO
1 - 1
BMA
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
BOA
0 - 1
RIO
51%
27%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
RIO
0 - 0
SCP
25%
25%
51%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 1
RIO
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ACA
1 - 0
MAR
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2004 |
VST
1 - 0
ACA
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ACA
2 - 1
GFC
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
ACA
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ACA
0 - 1
SLB
19%
23%
58%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |