Rimini vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
RIM
2 - 1
VAR
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
SSS
2 - 1
RIM
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
RIM
1 - 2
COM
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
RIM
1 - 4
TOR
27%
29%
45%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
TRI
2 - 2
RIM
62%
20%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
CTT
2 - 0
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 1
PRO
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 0
VAR
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
VAR
2 - 2
REG
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
ALZ
2 - 4
VAR
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |