1. HNL Round 29

HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin analysis

HNK Rijeka NK Varazdin
85 ELO 77
-5.8% Tilt -8%
288º General ELO ranking 735º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
62.5%
HNK Rijeka
22%
Draw
15.5%
NK Varazdin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
HNK Rijeka
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.5%
Win probability
NK Varazdin
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
HNK Rijeka
-7%
+5%
NK Varazdin

Points and table prediction

HNK Rijeka
Their league position
NK Varazdin
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
49
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dinamo Zagreb
65
65
100%
HNK Rijeka
65
65
100%
HNK Hajduk Split
63
63
100%
NK Varazdin
49
49
100%
NK Slaven Belupo
48
48
0%
NK Istra 1961
48
48
0%
NK Osijek
42
42
100%
Lokomotiva
39
39
100%
HNK Gorica
37
37
100%
HNK Sibenik
10º
28
30
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
100% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2025
LOK
Lokomotiva
0 - 1
HNK Rijeka
RIJ
37%
26%
36%
84 80 4 0
02 Apr. 2025
RIJ
HNK Rijeka
1 - 0
NK Istra 1961
IST
63%
21%
16%
84 77 7 0
29 Mar. 2025
SLA
NK Slaven Belupo
2 - 1
HNK Rijeka
RIJ
26%
28%
46%
84 77 7 0
16 Mar. 2025
RIJ
HNK Rijeka
3 - 0
HNK Hajduk Split
HKS
45%
26%
29%
84 84 0 0
07 Mar. 2025
RIJ
HNK Rijeka
1 - 1
HNK Sibenik
HNS
68%
21%
12%
84 69 15 0

Matches

NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2025
NKV
NK Varazdin
0 - 0
HNK Gorica
HNG
55%
26%
20%
78 72 6 0
30 Mar. 2025
NKV
NK Varazdin
1 - 1
Dinamo Zagreb
DZG
22%
26%
52%
77 84 7 +1
16 Mar. 2025
OSI
NK Osijek
0 - 0
NK Varazdin
NKV
61%
22%
17%
77 83 6 0
08 Mar. 2025
NKV
NK Varazdin
0 - 0
NK Istra 1961
IST
45%
27%
28%
77 76 1 0
02 Mar. 2025
HNS
HNK Sibenik
0 - 2
NK Varazdin
NKV
34%
28%
38%
76 70 6 +1