HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability

1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.5%
Win probability

0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

-7%
+5%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
3º
2º
49
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
![]() |
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
![]() |
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
![]() |
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
![]() |
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
![]() |
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
![]() |
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
![]() |
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
![]() |
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
![]() |
10º
|
28 | 30 |
10º
|
100% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
Europa League
|
100% | 0% |
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
06 Apr. 2025 |
LOK
![]() 0 - 1
![]() RIJ
37%
26%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
02 Apr. 2025 |
RIJ
![]() 1 - 0
![]() IST
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
29 Mar. 2025 |
SLA
![]() 2 - 1
![]() RIJ
26%
28%
46%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
16 Mar. 2025 |
RIJ
![]() 3 - 0
![]() HKS
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
07 Mar. 2025 |
RIJ
![]() 1 - 1
![]() HNS
68%
21%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04 Apr. 2025 |
NKV
![]() 0 - 0
![]() HNG
55%
26%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
30 Mar. 2025 |
NKV
![]() 1 - 1
![]() DZG
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
16 Mar. 2025 |
OSI
![]() 0 - 0
![]() NKV
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
08 Mar. 2025 |
NKV
![]() 0 - 0
![]() IST
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
02 Mar. 2025 |
HNS
![]() 0 - 2
![]() NKV
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |