Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 3-1
HNK Rijeka vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
DIF
1 - 0
RIJ
29%
23%
48%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
INT
3 - 0
RIJ
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
RIJ
2 - 0
HNK
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
OSI
1 - 2
RIJ
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
RIJ
2 - 1
HKS
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
DIF
1 - 0
RIJ
29%
23%
48%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
DIF
4 - 0
PRO
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
RAC
2 - 2
DIF
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
DIF
2 - 3
FOL
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
DIF
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |